If the next Xbox or PlayStation Costs $1,000, Are Consoles Still Worth It?
By JugglingNothing on
I've been thinking about this since I saw the latest discussion around PS6 and Xbox Project Helix.
An Ampere Analysis scenario reported by VGC suggests that if the next PlayStation and Xbox launch around $1,000, combined sales could end up as much as 38% lower over five years than the PS5 and Xbox Series X/S generation. The same analysis estimates that the PlayStation and Xbox games and services market could be about $3.4 billion smaller by 2031 compared with a $700 console price.
That's a pretty serious warning.
But honestly, the price isn't even the part I find most interesting.
It's what happens to the idea of a "console" if we're spending that much money on one.
Xbox is already moving in a different direction with Project Helix. Microsoft says the next-generation machine is being designed to play both Xbox console and PC games, and it's working with AMD on a custom system designed around the next generation of rendering and simulation. Developer versions of the hardware are planned for 2027.
At the same time, Xbox is bringing more of its console experience to Windows 11. Xbox Mode is rolling out on PCs and handhelds, giving Windows devices a more console-like gaming interface.
So imagine the next Xbox costing $1,000.
At that price, I'd start looking at gaming PCs very differently.
A console has always had one huge advantage: you buy it, plug it in, and play. You don't have to worry about choosing a GPU, installing drivers, checking CPU requirements, or wondering whether your hardware can handle the next game.
But if the next Xbox starts behaving more like a PC while costing around the same as a decent gaming computer, that advantage becomes harder to explain.
And I don't think Sony can ignore this either.
The good news is that $1,000 isn't a confirmed price. It's an analyst scenario. Ampere has suggested several ways Sony and Microsoft could avoid that kind of launch price, including delaying the generation, subsidizing the hardware more aggressively, changing how the platforms make money, or designing something substantially different instead of simply making a more powerful version of today's consoles.
Personally, I think the last option is the most interesting.
If I'm paying $1,000 for a next-generation machine, I don't want "better graphics" to be the entire pitch.
I want something that makes me look at my current console and think, "Okay, now I understand why I need this."
Otherwise, I'd probably wait for a price drop or put that money toward a PC.
What about you?